Joe CarsonMay 19The Politics of Inflation & The Fed What is inflation? That should be easy to answer. Inflation should be what people pay for things. However, politics and policy got...
Joe CarsonMay 13Risky Business: Is The Fed Sending the Wrong Message About the Promise of Lower Rates?Policymakers often proclaim their reliance on data (i.e., a data-dependent policy approach), indicating uncertainty about the economy's...
Joe CarsonApr 30How Fast Are Labor Costs Rising? Faster Than You Think The widely followed employment cost index (ECI) jumped 1.2% in Q1 2024, faster than the 0.9% increase in Q4 2023, raising fears that...
Joe CarsonApr 25Nominal Spending Remains Hot: Monetary Policy Not As Restrictive As Fed Thinks It Is Monetary policy impacts the growth of nominal spending in the economy. Therefore, the preliminary Q1 GDP results send a strong message to...
Joe CarsonMar 21The Fed At "War" With ItselfThe Fed is at "war" with itself. It says one thing when appropriate and helpful for its communication strategy and then ignores it or...
Joe CarsonMar 12The Politics of Price Measurement: CPI Is the Sole Measure Of Retail Inflation, But The Fed Prefers PCEIn February, total consumer prices and prices, excluding food and energy, rose 0.4%, resulting in the last twelve-month increases of 3.2%...