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When the AI Bubble Bursts, Fed Easing Will Be Cited

Fed policymakers may lack concrete economic data, given the government shutdown, but they have a wealth of financial data to consider. Easing monetary policy in an environment of record equity prices and easy credit conditions contradicts one of the Fed's mandates, which is maintaining financial stability. During the peak of the tech bubble, core consumer price inflation was at 2.4%, yet the Fed tightened policy. Today, the Fed operates with a 2% price target, and with core i

Uh-OH! Equity Investors Are Too Bullish

Uh-Oh!!! Equity investors might be missing a crucial issue. While equity prices are rising due to anticipated future profits, companies'...

Tariffs and the Persistence of Inflation

On July 31, the Trump administration finalized the tariff rates for over 100 countries. Although the scale of the inflationary impact is...

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