Nominal GDP increased at an annual rate of 8.2% in Q3, after a 6% annualized rise in the previous quarter. These consecutive strong increases in nominal economic activity are the largest since 2022. Monetary policy affects nominal spending, and the Nominal GDP/Fed Funds rule suggests that the current monetary policy stance is "far too easy". GDP price Index +3.7%. Earth to Fed!
It has been argued that AI could usher in "10x of the Industrial Revolution at 10x the speed." Yet, for AI to deliver on its growth potential for the economy, not just for a select group of companies,
Fed Chair Warsh's term has begun with some challenges, and it's still uncertain how he intends to handle monetary policy. Forecasting plays a vital role in effective policymaking, yet Mr. Warsh has no
During the June 17 press conference after the FOMC meeting, the new Fed Chairman, Warsh, announced the establishment of five task groups. These groups will address various topics, such as Fed communic
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