Nominal GDP increased at an annual rate of 8.2% in Q3, after a 6% annualized rise in the previous quarter. These consecutive strong increases in nominal economic activity are the largest since 2022. Monetary policy affects nominal spending, and the Nominal GDP/Fed Funds rule suggests that the current monetary policy stance is "far too easy". GDP price Index +3.7%. Earth to Fed!
During this week's press conference, Fed Chair Powell inserted himself and the Fed into the discussion about payroll job measurement. Powell stated that there is a "systemic overcount" of payrolls, es
Consumer affordability is a widely discussed topic, but it's not enough to simply look at consumer prices. Affordability encompasses the prices or costs of essential and discretionary items, which are
Monetary policy mistakes are often self-inflicted. Sometimes, policymakers cling to an official policy for too long, necessitating a swift and sharp reversal to mitigate economic harm. At other times,
Comments