Joe CarsonFeb 11, 2022Does the Fed Still Believe in the Efficacy of Monetary Policy?In January, consumer price inflation of 7.5% for the past year represents the highest twelve-month increase since 1982. As alarming as...
Joe CarsonFeb 4, 2022The Fed's Dilemma: Which "Curve" Should It Target?The Fed is in a pickle. Traditional and unconventional monetary tools have altered the signaling effect of two critical indicators: the...
Joe CarsonJan 31, 2022Questions About The Accuracy of Q4 ECI Data The widely followed employment cost index (ECI) showed a marked slowdown in labor costs in the fourth quarter, creating the impression...
Joe CarsonJan 27, 2022What Would The "Old Fed" Do Today? What would the "Old Fed" do today? In 2021, nominal GDP recorded the first double-digit annual growth since 1984. Yet, the two stunning...
Joe CarsonJan 23, 2022Fed's Huge Problem: Main Street Does Not Believe The Fed's & Wall Street's Inflation ForecastsThe Fed has a huge problem. Main Street does not believe the Fed's or Wall Street's view of inflation. People and businesses act as if...
Joe CarsonJan 12, 2022Easy Money Contributed As Much To 2021 "Actual" Inflation As Supply Shortages Did To "Reported"Consumer prices rose 7% in 2021, the highest reported inflation rate since 1982. The ugly price data has sparked a debate over how much...